UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Apr-06 07:07 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116.7539,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Apr

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -11%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 114.4375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 117.34375,
• 5. Levels R: 117.34375, 118.0625, 119.4375, 120.9688, 122.5313,
• 6. Levels S: 114.4375, 112.2813.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 116.4887 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 116.1125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.7767 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.2906 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.8213 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.2813 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 02 Apr 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 115.5625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 02 Apr 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 115.78125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 30 Mar 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 115.65625 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart is showing a clear bearish structure across all timeframes. Price is trading below all major moving averages, with each benchmark (5, 10, 20, 55, 100, and 200 day) in a downtrend, confirming persistent downside momentum. The swing pivot trend is down both short- and intermediate-term, with the most recent pivot low at 114.4375 and resistance levels stacked above, suggesting rallies are likely to face selling pressure. The price remains below the key F0%/NTZ levels on the weekly, monthly, and yearly session fib grids, reinforcing the dominant downward bias. Recent trade signals have favored the short side, and volatility (ATR) is moderate, while volume is steady but not elevated. The market appears to be in a sustained downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows, and no immediate signs of reversal or strong counter-trend activity. This environment typically favors trend continuation strategies, with any bounces likely to be viewed as corrective within the broader bearish context.