UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Apr-05 18:06 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116.7539,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 37%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Apr

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -11%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 114.0379,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 117.34375,
• 5. Levels R: 117.34375, 118.0625, 119.4375, 120.59375, 122.53125,
• 6. Levels S: 114.0379, 112.28125.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 116.48873 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 116.1125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.7769 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.29063 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.28125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.28125 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 02 Apr 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 115.5625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 02 Apr 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 115.78125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 30 Mar 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 115.65625 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart reflects a market under sustained downward pressure across all timeframes. Price action is characterized by medium-sized bars and slow momentum, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction in the very short term, but the prevailing trend remains negative. The weekly session fib grid (WSFG) shows a short-term upward bias, but this is countered by the monthly (MSFG) and yearly (YSFG) session fib grids, both of which are trending down with price below their respective NTZ/F0% levels. Swing pivot analysis confirms a dominant downtrend, with the most recent pivot low at 114.0379 and the next potential resistance at 117.34375. All benchmark moving averages from short to long term are trending down, reinforcing the bearish outlook. Recent trade signals have favored the short side, aligning with the broader trend. Volatility, as measured by ATR, is moderate, and volume metrics are stable. Overall, the technical landscape suggests persistent bearish sentiment, with rallies likely to encounter resistance at prior swing highs and moving averages, while support is defined by recent pivot lows.