UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Apr-02 07:09 CT

Price Action

• Last: 115.78125,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 20%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Apr

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -18%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 114.03125,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 117.34375,
• 5. Levels R: 117.34375, 116.0625, 115.96875, 115.84375, 115.78125,
• 6. Levels S: 114.03125, 112.28125, 111.28125.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 115.41 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 116.08 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.01 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.84 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.84 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.28 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 02 Apr 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 115.5625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 02 Apr 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 115.78125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 30 Mar 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 115.65625 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart reflects a market under sustained downside pressure across all timeframes. Price action is characterized by medium-sized bars and slow momentum, indicating a lack of aggressive selling but persistent weakness. The short-term WSFG shows a minor upward bias with price above the weekly NTZ, but this is overshadowed by the intermediate and long-term MSFG and YSFG trends, both of which are firmly down with price below their respective NTZ levels. Swing pivot analysis confirms a dominant downtrend, with the most recent pivot low at 114.03125 and resistance levels stacked above current price, suggesting rallies are likely to encounter selling pressure. All benchmark moving averages are trending down, reinforcing the bearish structure. Recent trade signals have shifted to short, aligning with the prevailing trend. Volatility (ATR) is moderate, and volume metrics are stable, indicating orderly but persistent selling. Overall, the technical landscape points to a market in a corrective or trending down phase, with little evidence of a reversal or strong bounce at this stage.