UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Mar-25 07:09 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116'19,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 43%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Mar

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -169%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 115'04,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 117'28.50,
• 5. Levels R: 117'28.50, 118'25, 120'16, 122'53.12,
• 6. Levels S: 115'04, 114'28.75, 112'28.75, 111'28.75.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 116.28125 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 116.6875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 118.375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.28125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.0625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.25 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 24 Mar 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 115.75 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 20 Mar 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 115.6875 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart reflects a market in transition. Price action shows a recent bounce from a swing low at 115'04, but overall momentum remains slow and the majority of moving averages across all timeframes are trending down. The short-term trend is bearish, confirmed by the downward direction of both the 5-day and 10-day benchmarks, as well as the current swing pivot trend. Intermediate-term signals are mixed: while the monthly session fib grid (MSFG) is bearish and price is below the NTZ, the HiLo trend for pivots is still up, suggesting some underlying support or a potential for a corrective move. Long-term structure remains bearish, with price below yearly fib grid levels and all major moving averages. Recent trade signals indicate both short and long attempts, highlighting the choppy and potentially volatile environment. The market is currently testing support levels, with resistance overhead at 117'28.50 and above. Overall, the chart suggests a market under pressure, with any rallies likely to face resistance unless a significant shift in momentum occurs.