UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Mar-24 07:09 CT

Price Action

• Last: 115'20,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Momentum fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 9%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Mar

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -200%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 115'20,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 117'28.50,
• 5. Levels R: 117'28.50, 118'04, 118'16, 118'25, 120'04, 122'53.125,
• 6. Levels S: 115'20, 114'28.75, 112'18.75.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 116'05.625 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 116'18.75 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117'17 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118'18.25 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118'10.875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118'24 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 24 Mar 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 115.75 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 20 Mar 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 115.6875 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures are exhibiting strong downside momentum, with large bars and fast momentum confirming a recent acceleration lower. All major moving averages across short, intermediate, and long-term timeframes are trending down, reinforcing the prevailing bearish sentiment. The price is currently below both the monthly and yearly session fib grids, indicating sustained weakness and a lack of support from higher timeframes. Swing pivot analysis shows a dominant downtrend in both short and intermediate terms, with the most recent pivot low established at 115'20 and the next resistance levels significantly higher, suggesting a wide gap before any meaningful recovery. The ATR remains elevated, reflecting heightened volatility, while volume metrics are robust, indicating active participation during this move. Recent trade signals show a short bias was triggered before a potential reversal attempt, but the overall structure remains bearish. The market is in a clear downtrend phase, with lower lows and resistance levels stacking above, and no immediate signs of reversal or consolidation. This environment is characterized by trend continuation and persistent selling pressure.