UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Mar-19 07:11 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.953125,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Mar

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -157%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 116.21875,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 122.59375,
• 5. Levels R: 123.68750, 122.59375, 119.87500, 119.68750, 115.68275,
• 6. Levels S: 115.68275, 111.21875.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 119.48 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 119.37 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 121.22 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 124.74 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 130.53 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 137.31 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 18 Mar 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 116.875 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 17 Mar 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 116.84375 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart reflects a market in transition. Price action is currently subdued with medium-sized bars and slow momentum, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction. The short-term WSFG trend is up, with price holding just above the NTZ center, but this is countered by a dominant downtrend in both the intermediate and long-term MSFG and YSFG grids, where price remains below key NTZ levels. Swing pivot analysis confirms a prevailing downtrend in both short and intermediate timeframes, with the most recent pivot low at 116.21875 and the next resistance at 122.59375. Multiple resistance levels cluster above current price, while support is found at 115.68275 and 111.21875. All benchmark moving averages from 5-week to 200-week are trending down, reinforcing the broader bearish structure. Recent trade signals show mixed short-term activity but align with the overall bearish intermediate and long-term outlook. The market appears to be consolidating after a recent bounce, with potential for further downside unless a sustained breakout above resistance levels occurs. Volatility remains moderate, and the chart suggests a choppy, range-bound environment within a larger bearish cycle.