UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Mar-18 07:12 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.29,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 50%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Mar

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -120%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 0%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Neutral,
• YSFG Trend: Neutral.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 116.000,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 122.531,
• 5. Levels R: 122.531, 121.625, 119.625,
• 6. Levels S: 116.000, 115.656, 114.000.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117.08 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 117.34 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119.35 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.96 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.07 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.29 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 17 Mar 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 117.375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 17 Mar 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 116.84375 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market in transition. Price action has recently bounced from a swing low at 116.000, but the overall short-term trend remains bearish, as confirmed by the downward direction of all key moving averages (5, 10, 20, 55, 100, and 200 day). The weekly session fib grid (WSFG) trend is up, with price above the NTZ center, suggesting some short-term upward bias, but the monthly session fib grid (MSFG) is firmly down, with price below the NTZ, indicating intermediate-term weakness. The swing pivot structure highlights a recent pivot low, with the next significant resistance at 122.531 and support at 116.000 and below. Volatility (ATR) is moderate, and volume is average. Recent trade signals have triggered long entries, reflecting attempts to capture a potential bounce or reversal, but the prevailing technical structure suggests the market is still in a corrective or consolidative phase after a sharp sell-off. The intermediate and long-term outlooks remain neutral, with no clear directional conviction, while the short-term remains under pressure from persistent bearish momentum.