UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Mar-15 18:09 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.984375,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 7%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Mar

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -156%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 111.21875,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 122.59375,
• 5. Levels R: 123.68750, 122.59375, 119.875, 115.15625,
• 6. Levels S: 115.6825, 111.21875.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 119.98 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 119.38 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 119.98 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 123.31 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 130.53 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 144.26 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 10 Mar 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 118.59375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 09 Mar 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 119.46875 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in a corrective phase within a broader downtrend. Price action is currently consolidating with medium-sized bars and slow momentum, reflecting indecision after recent volatility. The short-term WSFG trend is up, with price holding above the NTZ center, but this is countered by a dominant downtrend in both the intermediate and long-term MSFG and YSFG grids, where price remains below key NTZ levels. Swing pivots confirm a downward bias, with the most recent pivot low at 111.21875 and resistance levels stacked above current price, suggesting overhead supply. All benchmark moving averages from 5 to 200 weeks are trending down, reinforcing the prevailing bearish structure. Recent trade signals indicate mixed short-term activity, but the overall technical landscape favors a bearish to neutral stance, with any rallies likely to encounter resistance at prior swing highs and moving averages. The market appears to be in a corrective bounce within a larger bearish cycle, with potential for further downside if support levels fail.