UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Mar-15 18:09 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116'19,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Momentum fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 7%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Mar

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -156%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 116'19,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 122'53,
• 5. Levels R: 122'53, 119'06, 118'78, 118'20, 116'78,
• 6. Levels S: 116'09, 115'65.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117'18 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118'41 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119'65 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118'78 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 116'56 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118'28 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 10 Mar 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 118.59375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 09 Mar 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 119.46875 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures are exhibiting pronounced bearish momentum across all timeframes. The most recent price action shows large, fast-moving bars to the downside, confirming strong selling pressure. The short-term WSFG trend is technically up, but price has decisively broken below both the monthly and yearly session fib grids, with the MSFG and YSFG trends both down, indicating that the broader context is dominated by sellers. Swing pivot analysis confirms a dominant downtrend, with the most recent pivot low established at 116'19 and the next potential reversal only at a much higher level (122'53), suggesting significant ground would need to be recovered for a trend change. All benchmark moving averages are trending down, reinforcing the bearish structure. Volatility remains elevated (ATR 46), and volume is robust, supporting the conviction behind the move. Recent trade signals have flipped from a brief long to a renewed short, aligning with the prevailing trend. Overall, the market is in a strong downtrend, with no immediate signs of reversal, and is currently testing key support levels.