UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Mar-12 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.46875,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -65%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Mar

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -146%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 116.50625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 122.53125,
• 5. Levels R: 122.53125, 123.68750, 123.31250, 137.37500, 151.15625,
• 6. Levels S: 116.50625, 115.68275, 111.21875.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 119.88675 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 118.59375 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 119.49681 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 121.28131 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 124.12813 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 130.71875 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 10 Mar 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 118.59375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 09 Mar 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 119.46875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 05 Mar 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 119.15625 Signals.USAR.TR720

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart reflects a persistent bearish environment across all timeframes. Price action is subdued with medium-sized bars and slow momentum, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction but a prevailing downward bias. All major Fibonacci grid trends (weekly, monthly, yearly) are negative, with price consistently below their respective NTZ/F0% levels, reinforcing the dominance of sellers. Swing pivot analysis shows both short-term and intermediate-term trends are down, with the most recent pivot low at 116.50625 and the next significant resistance at 122.53125. Multiple resistance levels cluster above, while support is layered below, suggesting any rallies may face overhead supply. The moving averages across all benchmarks (except the 10-week) are trending down, further confirming the broader bearish structure. Recent trade signals have alternated between short and long, but the prevailing direction remains to the downside, with the latest short signal aligning with the overall trend. The market appears to be in a corrective phase within a larger downtrend, with potential for further tests of lower support levels if momentum does not shift. Overall, the technical landscape is characterized by trend continuation to the downside, with rallies likely to be met with resistance and selling pressure dominating the current cycle.