UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Mar-12 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116.25,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Momentum fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -65%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Mar

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -146%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 116.25,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 122.53125,
• 5. Levels R: 122.53125, 120.40625, 119.0625, 118.09375, 116.65625,
• 6. Levels S: 115.65625.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118.875 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 119.76 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119.89531 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.17919 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.94222 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.1875 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 10 Mar 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 118.59375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 09 Mar 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 119.46875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 05 Mar 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 119.15625 Signals.USAR.TR720

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures are exhibiting pronounced downside momentum, with large bars and fast momentum confirming aggressive selling pressure. All major trend metrics—weekly, monthly, and yearly session fib grids—are aligned to the downside, with price trading well below key NTZ/F0% levels. Swing pivot analysis shows a dominant downtrend in both short- and intermediate-term, with the most recent pivot evolving to a new low at 116.25 and the next potential reversal only at a much higher level (122.53125). Resistance levels are stacked above, while support is thin, with the next key support at 115.65625. All benchmark moving averages across timeframes are trending down, reinforcing the bearish structure. Volatility remains elevated (ATR 46), and volume is robust, suggesting strong participation in the current move. Recent trade signals have flipped between short and long, but the prevailing direction is clearly bearish. The technical landscape points to a market in a strong downtrend, with little evidence of a reversal or stabilization at this stage.