UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Mar-10 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.093,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 9%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Mar

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -89%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 117.84725,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 122.53125,
• 5. Levels R: 122.53125, 121.03125, 120.4375, 119.65625, 119.40625,
• 6. Levels S: 117.84725, 116.65625, 115.90025, 115.000.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 119.96563 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 120.21875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119.89219 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.24343 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.09063 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.124 Up Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 09 Mar 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 119.46875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 05 Mar 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 119.15625 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 02 Mar 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 120.28125 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart reflects a market in transition. Short-term momentum has shifted bearish, as indicated by the recent pivot trend (DTrend), declining 5- and 10-day moving averages, and a price drop below the monthly session fib grid (MSFG) NTZ zone. However, the intermediate-term HiLo trend remains upward, suggesting underlying support, while the long-term outlook is bullish with price holding above yearly fib grid levels and long-term moving averages trending up. Recent trade signals show mixed activity, with both short and long entries in the past week, highlighting choppy and volatile conditions. The market is currently testing support levels after a sharp pullback from a recent swing high, with volatility (ATR) elevated and volume steady. This environment suggests a consolidation phase with potential for further downside in the short term, but with longer-term structural support still intact.