UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Mar-09 07:12 CT

Price Action

• Last: 118.28125,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Momentum fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -7%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Mar

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -103%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 116.94725,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 119.6875,
• 5. Levels R: 122.53125, 119.6875,
• 6. Levels S: 116.94725, 115.65625.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118.8125 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 119.28125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119.78594 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.26219 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.09844 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.90673 Up Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 09 Mar 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 118.28125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 05 Mar 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 119.15625 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 02 Mar 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 120.28125 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures are currently experiencing strong downward momentum, with large bars and fast price movement indicating heightened volatility. Both the weekly and monthly session fib grids show price trading below their respective NTZ centers, confirming a short- and intermediate-term downtrend. Swing pivot analysis aligns with this, as both short-term and intermediate-term trends are down, with the next significant resistance at 119.6875 and support at 116.94725 and 115.65625. All short- and intermediate-term moving averages are trending down, reinforcing the bearish outlook, while long-term averages remain slightly upward, suggesting the broader trend is still neutral to up. Recent trade signals have consistently favored the short side, reflecting the prevailing bearish sentiment. The ATR and volume metrics confirm an environment of increased activity and volatility. Overall, the market is in a corrective phase after a recent rally, with sellers in control in the short and intermediate term, while the long-term trend remains undecided, awaiting further confirmation from price action.