UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Mar-08 18:08 CT

Price Action

• Last: 118.90625,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Momentum fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -19%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Mar

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -101%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 118.31250,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 120.43750,
• 5. Levels R: 122.53125, 120.43750, 119.81250,
• 6. Levels S: 118.31250, 116.65625, 115.00000.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 119.18125 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 120.24125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119.78594 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.26219 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.29523 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.09873 Up Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 05 Mar 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 119.15625 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 02 Mar 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 120.28125 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures are exhibiting pronounced bearish momentum in both the short- and intermediate-term timeframes, as evidenced by large, fast-moving bars and a decisive move below both the weekly and monthly session fib grid neutral zones. The swing pivot structure confirms a dominant downtrend, with the most recent pivot evolving to a new low and resistance levels stacking above current price. All short- and intermediate-term moving averages are trending down, reinforcing the prevailing downside pressure. However, the long-term trend remains neutral, with the yearly session fib grid still showing price above its neutral zone and the 100- and 200-day moving averages holding uptrends, suggesting that the broader structure is not yet fully broken. Recent trade signals have triggered shorts, aligning with the current technical setup. Volatility is elevated (ATR 46), and volume remains robust, indicating strong participation in the recent selloff. Overall, the market is in a corrective phase with potential for further downside unless a significant reversal develops at key support levels.