UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Mar-05 07:12 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.09,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -126%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Mar

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -84%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 123.6875,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 111.21875,
• 5. Levels R: 137.3125, 123.6875, 119.15625,
• 6. Levels S: 115.6875, 111.21875.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 119.92 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 118.4375 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 119.15 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 121.34 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 124.38 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 130.96 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 05 Mar 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 119.15625 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 02 Mar 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 120.28125 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 26 Feb 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 120.78125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The weekly chart for UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures shows a market under persistent downward pressure in both the short- and intermediate-term timeframes, as indicated by the negative WSFG and MSFG readings, both with price trading below their respective NTZ/F0% levels. The swing pivot structure confirms this with a dominant downtrend in both short-term and intermediate-term pivots, and the next significant support level is well below current price at 111.21875. Resistance is layered above at 119.15625, 123.6875, and 137.3125, suggesting any rallies may face overhead supply. Benchmark moving averages reinforce the bearish bias, with the 5-week and 55/100/200-week MAs all trending down, though the 10- and 20-week MAs are showing some short-term upward movement, hinting at possible countertrend bounces. Recent trade signals have shifted to short, aligning with the prevailing trend. The long-term YSFG trend is marginally up, but price action remains below major long-term moving averages, keeping the broader outlook neutral until a decisive breakout occurs. Overall, the chart reflects a market in a corrective or continuation phase lower, with rallies likely to be sold into unless a significant reversal develops. Volatility remains moderate, and the structure suggests swing traders should remain attentive to support breaks or failed rallies at resistance.