UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Mar-05 07:11 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.15625,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Momentum fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -126%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Mar

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -84%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 122.53125,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 119.00000,
• 5. Levels R: 122.53125, 120.96875, 120.625, 120.4375,
• 6. Levels S: 119.00000, 116.65625, 116.00000, 115.65625.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 120.8125 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 119.8125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119.5375 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.96875 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.06047 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 116.90875 Up Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 05 Mar 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 119.15625 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 02 Mar 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 120.28125 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 26 Feb 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 120.78125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures market is currently experiencing a sharp pullback after a strong rally, as evidenced by large, fast-moving bars and a decisive downward momentum. Both the weekly and monthly session fib grids (WSFG and MSFG) indicate that price is trading well below their respective NTZ/F0% levels, confirming a short- and intermediate-term downtrend. Swing pivot analysis shows a recent pivot high at 122.53125, with the next key support at 119.00000, and further downside levels at 116.65625 and 116.00000. Resistance is stacked above at 120.4375 and higher. Short-term and intermediate-term moving averages (5 and 10 day) have turned down, reinforcing the bearish tone, while longer-term averages (20, 55, 100, 200 day) remain in uptrends, suggesting the broader bullish structure is still intact. The ATR is elevated, reflecting increased volatility, and volume remains robust. Recent trade signals have shifted to the short side, aligning with the current momentum and pivot structure. Overall, the market is in a corrective phase within a longer-term uptrend, with the potential for further downside in the near term as it tests support levels. The environment is characterized by volatility and swift price moves, typical of a market transitioning between trend phases.