UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Mar-04 07:12 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.28313,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Momentum fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -106%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Mar

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -71%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 119.40025,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 121.46875,
• 5. Levels R: 122.53125, 121.46875, 120.40625,
• 6. Levels S: 119.40025, 116.00000, 115.65625.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 120.18875 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 120.48875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119.92187 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.03826 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.00825 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 117.3925 Up Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 02 Mar 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 120.28125 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 26 Feb 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 120.78125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a recent sharp reversal after a strong rally, with large, fast-moving bars indicating heightened volatility. Short-term momentum has shifted bearish, as confirmed by the downtrend in both the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, and the WSFG and MSFG both trending down with price below their respective NTZ/F0% levels. The most recent swing pivot has evolved to a new low, with the next potential resistance at 121.46875 and support at 119.40025. Intermediate-term signals are mixed: while the HiLo trend remains up, the monthly grid is still in a downtrend, suggesting a possible consolidation or transition phase. Long-term structure remains bullish, with all major moving averages (20, 55, 100, 200 day) trending up and price above the yearly NTZ/F0%. Recent trade signals reflect this volatility, with a short signal following a failed breakout above resistance. Overall, the market is experiencing a short-term pullback within a broader uptrend, with key levels to watch for potential support and resistance as the market digests recent moves.