UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Mar-03 07:12 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.28125,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -97%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Mar

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -65%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 119.28125,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 122.53125,
• 5. Levels R: 122.53125, 121.59375, 120.6875, 119.65625,
• 6. Levels S: 116.65625, 115.65625, 115.0000, 112.78125.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 120.28125 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 119.78125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 119.97594 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.01172 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 116.28125 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 114.4375 Up Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 02 Mar 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 120.28125 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 26 Feb 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 120.78125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures have recently experienced a sharp reversal after a strong rally, as indicated by the large, fast-moving bars and a new swing low pivot forming at 119.28125. Short-term momentum has shifted bearish, with price now trading below both the weekly and monthly session fib grid NTZ centers, and both the 5-day and 10-day moving averages trending down. However, intermediate and long-term moving averages remain in uptrends, and the yearly fib grid trend is still up, suggesting underlying bullish structure remains intact. The recent short signal aligns with the short-term downtrend, while the intermediate-term remains neutral as the HiLo trend is still up. Volatility is elevated (ATR 46), and volume remains robust, indicating active participation. Key resistance is overhead at 122.53125, with support levels down to 115.0000. The market is currently in a corrective phase within a broader uptrend, with potential for further downside in the short term before any resumption of the longer-term bullish trend.