UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Feb-23 07:13 CT

Price Action

• Last: 121.52984,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 0%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Neutral,
• WSFG Trend: Neutral.

MSFG Month Feb

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 82%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 121.40253,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 117.94373,
• 5. Levels R: 151.50000, 137.71875, 137.65025, 124.03125, 121.40253, 120.50000,
• 6. Levels S: 116.00000, 111.56250.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 118.125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 118.40625 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 119.46875 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 119.78125 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 120.40625 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 131.53125 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 18 Feb 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 120.4375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 18 Feb 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 120.5 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish
• Long-Term: Bullish

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in transition. Price action is currently consolidating near the 121.53 level, with medium-sized bars and slow momentum, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction in the short term. The Weekly Session Fib Grid (WSFG) trend is neutral, aligning with the recent short-term trade signals that suggest indecision or a pause after a move. Intermediate-term (MSFG) and long-term (YSFG) Fib grids both show price above their respective F0% levels, with uptrends, but the swing pivot structure is dominated by a downtrend in both short- and intermediate-term metrics, as evidenced by the most recent pivot high and the next projected pivot low. Resistance levels are clustered well above current price, while support is found at 116.00 and 111.56, suggesting a wide range for potential movement. Weekly benchmarks show mixed signals: short-term averages are split, but the longer-term moving averages (20, 55, 100 week) are trending up, while the 200-week remains in a downtrend, reflecting the broader recovery from previous sell-offs. Overall, the chart reflects a market that is digesting prior volatility, with short-term neutrality, intermediate-term bearishness, and a longer-term bullish undertone as price attempts to stabilize above key moving averages and Fib grid levels.