UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Feb-22 18:08 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119'31,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -10%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Feb

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 73%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 121'4025,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 117'3473,
• 5. Levels R: 151'5000, 137'7187, 137'6052, 124'0312, 121'4025, 119'1250,
• 6. Levels S: 116'0000, 111'5625.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 118'125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 118'4062 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 119'4687 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 119'7812 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 120'4062 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 131'5312 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 18 Feb 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 120.4375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 18 Feb 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 120.5 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market under pressure in the short and intermediate term, with both the WSFG and swing pivot trends pointing down. Price is currently below the NTZ center on the weekly grid, confirming a short-term bearish bias, and recent trade signals have triggered short entries. Intermediate-term momentum is mixed, with the monthly grid showing an uptrend, but the swing HiLo trend remains down, suggesting rallies are being sold into. Long-term structure is more neutral, with yearly grid and some moving averages still pointing up, but major resistance levels remain overhead and the 100/200 week MAs are trending down. The market is consolidating near recent lows, with slow momentum and medium-sized bars, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction. Key resistance sits at 121'4025 and 124'0312, while support is found at 116'0000 and 111'5625. The overall environment is one of choppy, corrective action within a broader downtrend, with the potential for further tests of support if sellers maintain control.