UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Feb-19 07:15 CT

Price Action

• Last: 120'02,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -28%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Feb

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 75%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 121'06.25,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 119'15.25,
• 5. Levels R: 124'03.125, 121'16.25, 121'06.25, 120'15.25,
• 6. Levels S: 118'23.391, 116'34.375, 116'00.00.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 120'15.625 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 119'08.75 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 118'23.391 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118'11.25 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119'53.781 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 117'24.875 Up Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 18 Feb 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 120.4375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 18 Feb 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 120.5 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market that has recently experienced a strong upward swing, with large bars and fast momentum pushing price above key monthly and yearly session fib grid levels. The short-term WSFG trend is down, and price is currently below the weekly NTZ, suggesting some short-term resistance and a possible pullback or consolidation phase. However, both the intermediate and long-term MSFG and YSFG trends remain up, with price holding above their respective NTZs, indicating underlying bullish structure. Swing pivots confirm an uptrend in both short and intermediate terms, with the most recent pivot high at 121'06.25 and next key support at 119'15.25. All benchmark moving averages are trending up, reinforcing the broader bullish bias. Recent trade signals have triggered short entries, reflecting the short-term overextension and potential for a corrective move. Volatility remains elevated (ATR 46), and volume is robust. Overall, the market is in a bullish phase on higher timeframes, but short-term signals point to a possible pause or retracement after a sharp rally.