UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Feb-17 07:15 CT

Price Action

• Last: 121'10,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 14%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Feb

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 104%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 121'40.25,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 117'06.25,
• 5. Levels R: 151'50, 137'71.87, 131'40.75, 127'65.62, 124'03.12, 121'40.25, 120'12, 119'06,
• 6. Levels S: 116'00, 111'56.25.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 119'44.87 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 119'46.75 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 120'84.37 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 124'00.84 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 131'76.99 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 133'09.12 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 17 Feb 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 121.34375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 12 Feb 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 120.09375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 10 Feb 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 119.09375 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 10 Feb 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a constructive shift in momentum, with price action stabilizing above key NTZ/F0% levels across short, intermediate, and long-term session fib grids. The recent swing pivot structure confirms an upward trend in both short- and intermediate-term metrics, with the most recent pivot high at 121'40.25 and next support at 117'06.25. Multiple recent long signals reinforce the bullish short- and intermediate-term outlook, supported by rising 5, 10, and 20-week moving averages. However, the 55, 100, and 200-week benchmarks remain in a downtrend, indicating that the longer-term structure is still neutral and has not fully reversed. The market is currently in a recovery phase, with higher lows and a series of upward pivots, but faces significant resistance overhead. The environment suggests a developing trend continuation, with the potential for further upside if resistance levels are overcome, while longer-term participants may still view the market as consolidating within a broader range.