UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Feb-11 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119'09.375,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 80%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Feb

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 54%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 116'00,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 120'00,
• 5. Levels R: 124'03, 127'65, 137'71, 151'50,
• 6. Levels S: 116'00, 111'56.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 119'17.5 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 118'31.5 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 119'47.5 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 121'91.5 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 132'03 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 133'09 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 10 Feb 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 119.09375 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 10 Feb 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 10 Feb 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.8125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 05 Feb 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.625 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in transition. Price action has recently shifted above key Fibonacci grid levels across weekly, monthly, and yearly timeframes, with all session grids indicating an upward trend. The short-term swing pivot trend remains down, but intermediate-term HiLo pivots have turned up, suggesting a possible shift in momentum. The most recent swing low at 116'00 is a critical support, while resistance is layered above at 120'00 and 124'03. Benchmark moving averages for the 5, 10, and 20 weeks are all trending up, supporting the intermediate-term bullish case, but the longer-term 55, 100, and 200 week averages remain in a downtrend, indicating overhead resistance and a need for further confirmation before a sustained long-term reversal. Recent trade signals have all been to the long side, reflecting the improving technical backdrop. Overall, the market is showing signs of recovery from a prolonged downtrend, with intermediate-term bullish momentum building, but the long-term trend remains neutral as price consolidates below major resistance levels. The environment is characterized by a potential base-building phase, with volatility likely as the market tests higher resistance and attempts to confirm a longer-term trend change.