UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Feb-10 07:21 CT

Price Action

• Last: 118.22,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 43%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Feb

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 32%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 118.40625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 116.40625,
• 5. Levels R: 119.625, 119.25, 118.866, 118.625, 118.4375, 118.3125,
• 6. Levels S: 116.40625, 116.34375.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117.4375 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 117.4375 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.74531 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.3125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.525 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 122.1877 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 10 Feb 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 10 Feb 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.8125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 05 Feb 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.625 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart is showing a notable shift in momentum, with price action currently above key short-term and intermediate-term Fibonacci grid levels, and a series of recent long trade signals confirming renewed buying interest. The short-term trend is bullish, supported by both the 5-day and 10-day moving averages turning up, and the 20-day intermediate-term average also in an uptrend. However, the 55-day and 200-day moving averages remain in a downtrend, tempering the longer-term outlook and suggesting that the market is still in a broader consolidation phase. Swing pivots indicate an uptrend in the short-term, but the intermediate-term trend remains down, highlighting a potential inflection point. Resistance is layered above at 118.866 to 119.625, while support is well-defined at 116.40625. Volatility is moderate, and volume is steady, indicating a healthy participation rate. Overall, the market is in a recovery phase with bullish short-term momentum, but intermediate and long-term participants may be waiting for a more decisive breakout above resistance or a retest of support before a sustained trend emerges.