UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Feb-09 07:22 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.703,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -21%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Feb

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 116.34375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 118.40625,
• 5. Levels R: 119.25000, 118.40625, 117.62500, 117.53125, 117.12500, 116.50000,
• 6. Levels S: 116.34375, 116.00000.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117.125 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 117.716 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.7625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.21375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.56344 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.5625 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 06 Feb 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.65625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 06 Feb 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.90625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 05 Feb 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.625 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart reflects a persistent bearish environment across all timeframes. Price action is subdued with slow momentum and medium-sized bars, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction. The contract remains below all key session fib grid levels (weekly, monthly, yearly), reinforcing the prevailing downtrend. Both short-term and intermediate-term swing pivot trends are down, with the most recent pivot low at 116.34375 and resistance levels stacked above current price, suggesting overhead supply. All benchmark moving averages (5, 10, 20, 55, 100, 200 day) are trending down and positioned above the last price, confirming broad-based weakness. Volatility (ATR) is moderate, and volume is steady but not elevated, pointing to a controlled, grinding decline rather than a panic selloff. Recent trade signals have triggered long entries, but these appear to be counter-trend attempts within a dominant bearish structure. The market is in a corrective or consolidative phase within a larger downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows defining the price structure. No evidence of a sustained reversal is present, and the technical backdrop remains negative for swing traders monitoring for trend continuation or potential breakdowns.