UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Feb-08 18:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.7342,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -19%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Feb

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 7%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 116.0000,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 119.98703,
• 5. Levels R: 124.03125, 121.91188, 119.98703, 117.65625,
• 6. Levels S: 116.0000, 111.56250.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 119.47 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 119.37 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 121.91 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 124.03 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 132.03 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 133.09 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 06 Feb 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.65625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 06 Feb 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.90625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 05 Feb 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.625 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in transition. Price action is currently subdued with medium-sized bars and slow momentum, reflecting a period of consolidation after a recent bounce from support. The short-term trend remains bearish, as indicated by the WSFG and swing pivot direction, with price trading below the NTZ center and most key moving averages trending down. However, the intermediate-term outlook is more constructive, with the MSFG showing an uptrend and the HiLo swing trend also up, suggesting a potential for further recovery or at least a sustained retracement. Long-term structure remains bearish, with all major moving averages (20, 55, 100, 200 week) sloping down and price below these benchmarks, indicating that rallies may face significant resistance. Recent trade signals have triggered long entries near support, aligning with the intermediate-term bullish bias, but the overall environment is still dominated by overhead resistance and a need for confirmation of a trend reversal. The market is currently testing a key inflection zone between 119.98 and 121.91, with support at 116.00 and 111.56. The setup suggests a choppy, range-bound environment with potential for tactical swings, but the broader trend context remains cautious until a decisive breakout above resistance or a breakdown below support occurs.