UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Feb-05 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116.24,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -20%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Feb

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -11%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 116.00,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119.09,
• 5. Levels R: 123.98, 122.04, 119.79, 116.12,
• 6. Levels S: 116.00, 111.86.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 117.12 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 117.85 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 119.91 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 124.04 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 132.36 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 137.37 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 05 Feb 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 116.6875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 05 Feb 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 116.75 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart is exhibiting a persistent bearish structure across all timeframes. Price action remains below all key session Fib grid levels (weekly, monthly, yearly), with the most recent bars showing slow momentum and medium-sized candles, indicating a lack of strong buying interest. The short-term swing pivot trend is down, while the intermediate-term HiLo trend is up, suggesting some underlying support but not enough to reverse the prevailing downtrend. All benchmark moving averages from 5-week to 200-week are trending lower, reinforcing the dominant bearish sentiment. Resistance levels are stacked above current price, with the nearest support at 116.00 and a deeper level at 111.86. Recent trade signals confirm renewed short entries, aligning with the overall negative bias. The market appears to be in a prolonged downtrend, with rallies being sold and no clear signs of a reversal, reflecting continued pressure from macroeconomic factors and technical weakness.