UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Feb-05 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116.6875,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -20%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Feb

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -11%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 116.34375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 118.40625,
• 5. Levels R: 118.40625, 118.90025, 119.25000, 121.06250, 124.03125,
• 6. Levels S: 116.34375, 116.00000.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117.08175 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 117.58375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.78594 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.20625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.62919 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.24877 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 05 Feb 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 116.6875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 05 Feb 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 116.75 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart is showing a clear bearish structure across all timeframes. Price action is characterized by medium-sized bars and slow momentum, with the last price trading below all key moving averages and session fib grid levels. Both the weekly and monthly session fib grids (WSFG and MSFG) indicate that price is below their respective NTZ (neutral trading zones), reinforcing a downward bias. The swing pivot summary confirms a dominant downtrend in both short- and intermediate-term trends, with the most recent pivot being a swing low at 116.34375 and the next potential reversal only at a much higher level (118.40625). Resistance levels are stacked above, while support is thin and close by, suggesting limited downside cushion. All benchmark moving averages are trending down, confirming persistent selling pressure. Recent trade signals have triggered new short entries, aligning with the prevailing trend. Volatility (ATR) and volume (VOLMA) are moderate, indicating steady but not extreme activity. Overall, the technical landscape points to a market in a sustained downtrend, with no immediate signs of reversal or significant support holding, and rallies likely to face resistance.