UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Feb-04 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116.39,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Feb

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 116.00000,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119.09375,
• 5. Levels R: 123.96875, 122.03125, 121.34375, 120.40625, 119.09375,
• 6. Levels S: 116.00000, 111.56250.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 117.12 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 118.25 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 119.79 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 122.04 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 132.36 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 137.37 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 04 Feb 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 116.75 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 04 Feb 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 116.75 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 27 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.59375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart is showing a persistent bearish structure across most timeframes. Price action is subdued with slow momentum and medium-sized bars, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction but a clear downward bias. All major session Fib Grid trends (weekly, monthly, yearly) are negative, with price trading below the NTZ center lines, reinforcing the prevailing downtrend. Swing pivots highlight a short-term downtrend, but the intermediate-term HiLo trend is showing some upward movement, suggesting a possible countertrend bounce or consolidation phase. Resistance levels cluster above current price, while support is found at 116.00 and 111.56, with the most recent pivot low at 116.00. All benchmark moving averages (from 5-week to 200-week) are trending down and positioned above current price, confirming the long-term bearish environment and acting as dynamic resistance. Recent trade signals are all short, aligning with the dominant trend. Overall, the market remains under pressure, with any rallies likely to encounter resistance at multiple levels. The intermediate-term neutral rating reflects some stabilization or sideways action, but the broader context remains bearish. The technical setup suggests the market is in a prolonged downtrend, with occasional countertrend moves, but no clear signs of a sustained reversal at this stage.