UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Feb-04 07:19 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116.34,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Feb

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 116.34375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 118.46875,
• 5. Levels R: 118.46875, 118.21777, 117.8125, 117.625, 117.59375,
• 6. Levels S: 116.34375, 116.0, 115.5.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117.123 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 117.172 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.818 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.445 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.688 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 04 Feb 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 116.75 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 04 Feb 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 116.75 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 27 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.59375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart is exhibiting a clear bearish structure across all timeframes. Price action is characterized by medium-sized bars and slow momentum, with the last price at 116.34, sitting below all key moving averages and session fib grid levels. The WSFG, MSFG, and YSFG all show price below their respective NTZ/F0% levels, confirming persistent downward pressure. Swing pivot analysis highlights a dominant downtrend, with the most recent pivot low at 116.34375 and the next potential reversal only above 118.46875. Resistance levels are stacked above, while support is thin and close to current price, suggesting limited downside buffer. All benchmark moving averages are trending down, reinforcing the prevailing bearish sentiment. Recent trade signals have consistently triggered short entries, aligning with the broader trend. Volatility, as measured by ATR, is moderate, and volume remains steady. Overall, the market is in a sustained downtrend, with no immediate signs of reversal or significant support holding, reflecting a continuation of bearish momentum in the current environment.