UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Feb-03 07:21 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116.21,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -32%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Feb

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -17%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 116.00000,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119.09375,
• 5. Levels R: 123.96875, 122.34375, 121.34375, 120.40625, 119.09375,
• 6. Levels S: 116.00000, 111.56250.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 117.8125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 118.25 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 119.79822 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 122.04259 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 132.36422 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 137.375 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 03 Feb 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 116.59375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 02 Feb 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 116.9375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 27 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.59375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart is showing a persistent bearish structure across most timeframes. Price action is subdued with medium-sized bars and slow momentum, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction but a clear downward bias. All major session fib grid trends (weekly, monthly, yearly) are negative, with price consistently below the NTZ center lines, reinforcing the prevailing downtrend. Swing pivots highlight a short-term downtrend, though the intermediate-term HiLo trend is showing some upward movement, suggesting potential for a counter-trend bounce or consolidation phase. Resistance levels are stacked above current price, while support is clustered near recent lows, indicating limited downside before a possible test of key support. All benchmark moving averages are trending down, confirming the long-term bearish environment. Recent trade signals have all been to the short side, aligning with the technical picture. Overall, the market remains under pressure, with any rallies likely to encounter significant resistance unless a major shift in momentum or macro environment occurs.