UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Feb-03 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116.21,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -32%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Feb

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -17%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 116.43750,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 118.85780,
• 5. Levels R: 119.09782, 118.85780, 118.43735, 118.22069, 117.59375,
• 6. Levels S: 116.43750, 116.00000.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117.44 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 117.75 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.85 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.51 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.72 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.29 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 03 Feb 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 116.59375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 02 Feb 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 116.9375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 27 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.59375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart is showing a clear bearish structure across all timeframes. Price action is characterized by medium-sized bars and slow momentum, with the last price at 116.21, trading below all key moving averages and session fib grid levels. Both the weekly and monthly session fib grids (WSFG and MSFG) indicate price is below their respective NTZ (neutral trading zones), reinforcing a downward bias. Swing pivot analysis confirms a dominant downtrend, with the most recent pivot low at 116.43750 and the next potential reversal only above 118.85780. Resistance levels are stacked above, while support is thin and close by, suggesting limited downside cushion. All benchmark moving averages (short, intermediate, and long-term) are trending down, confirming persistent selling pressure. Recent trade signals have all triggered short entries, aligning with the prevailing trend. Volatility (ATR) and volume (VOLMA) are moderate, indicating steady but not extreme activity. Overall, the technical landscape points to a sustained bearish environment, with no immediate signs of reversal or significant support holding, as the market continues to make lower highs and lower lows.