UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Feb-02 07:21 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.79825,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Feb

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 116.00000,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119.09375,
• 5. Levels R: 124.03125, 122.04250, 119.09375,
• 6. Levels S: 116.00000, 111.86250.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 119.46875 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 119.3125 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 119.91425 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 122.0425 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 132.36422 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 137.375 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 02 Feb 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.4375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 30 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 116.875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 27 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.59375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in transition. Price action is currently consolidating with medium-sized bars and slow momentum, reflecting indecision after recent swings. Short-term (WSFG) and intermediate-term (MSFG) trends are both up, with price holding above their respective NTZ/F0% levels, supported by upward-trending 5- and 10-week moving averages. However, the long-term (YSFG) trend remains down, with price still below the yearly NTZ/F0% and all major long-term moving averages (55, 100, 200 week) trending lower. Swing pivots indicate a short-term downtrend but an intermediate-term uptrend, with resistance at 124.03 and support at 116.00. Recent trade signals reflect mixed short-term direction, but the intermediate-term bias is tilting bullish. Overall, the market is in a consolidation phase, with short-term neutrality, intermediate-term bullishness, and persistent long-term bearishness. This suggests a market caught between a potential base-building process and the weight of a broader downtrend, with key levels to watch for breakout or breakdown confirmation.