UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Feb-02 07:21 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.72,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Feb

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 116.6025,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 118.90625,
• 5. Levels R: 119.25, 118.90625, 118.34375, 117.90625, 117.59375, 117.25,
• 6. Levels S: 116.0, 115.5.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117.94 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 117.88 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 118.23 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.57 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 117.10 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.29 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 02 Feb 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 117.4375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 30 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 116.875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 27 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.59375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market under pressure, with price action characterized by medium-sized bars and slow momentum, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction. Both the short-term and intermediate-term Weekly and Monthly Session Fib Grids (WSFG, MSFG) show price above their respective NTZ centers and an upward trend, but this is contradicted by the swing pivot structure and moving averages, which are all trending down. The most recent swing pivot trend is down (DTrend) for both short and intermediate terms, with the next key resistance at 119.25 and support at 116.00. All benchmark moving averages from short to long term are in a downtrend, reinforcing the overall bearish technical structure. Recent trade signals reflect mixed short-term activity but a prevailing bearish bias. Volatility (ATR) and volume (VOLMA) are moderate, suggesting a market that is active but not experiencing extreme moves. Overall, the technical landscape points to a bearish environment across all timeframes, with rallies likely to face resistance and downside levels being tested.