UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Feb-01 18:18 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.07,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -10%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Feb

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 116.00,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119.09,
• 5. Levels R: 124.03, 122.04, 119.79, 116.00,
• 6. Levels S: 116.00, 111.56.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 117.26 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 117.84 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 119.91 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 122.04 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 132.36 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 120.43 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 30 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 116.875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 27 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.59375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 27 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.625 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market under persistent downward pressure across all major timeframes. Price action is subdued with slow momentum and medium-sized bars, reflecting a lack of strong directional conviction. All three session Fib grid trends (weekly, monthly, yearly) are aligned to the downside, with price trading below their respective NTZ/F0% levels, confirming a bearish bias. The short-term swing pivot trend is down, but the intermediate-term HiLo trend is up, suggesting some underlying support or a potential for a countertrend bounce. Key resistance levels cluster above current price, while support is found at 116.00 and 111.56. Most moving averages, especially the longer-term ones, are trending down, reinforcing the dominant bearish structure, though the 20-week MA is showing a slight uptrend, hinting at possible stabilization or a developing base. Recent trade signals have been mixed, with a slight tilt toward short entries, reflecting the prevailing trend. Overall, the market is in a corrective or consolidative phase within a broader downtrend, with any rallies likely to encounter significant resistance overhead.