UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Jan-29 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.94375,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -53%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Jan

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 116.000,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119.0625,
• 5. Levels R: 119.6875, 119.0625, 118.34375, 116.9375, 116.5000,
• 6. Levels S: 116.0000.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117.977 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118.225 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 118.6625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.0516 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.8125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.2487 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 27 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.59375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 27 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 23 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.125 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart reflects a persistent bearish environment across all timeframes. Price action is subdued with slow momentum and medium-sized bars, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction but a prevailing downward bias. All major session fib grids (weekly, monthly, yearly) show price below their respective NTZ/F0% levels, reinforcing the downtrend. Swing pivot analysis confirms a dominant downtrend in both short- and intermediate-term trends, with the most recent pivot low at 116.000 and resistance levels stacked above current price. All benchmark moving averages from short to long term are trending down, with price trading below each, further supporting the bearish structure. Recent trade signals show mixed short-term activity but the broader context remains negative. Volatility (ATR) and volume (VOLMA) are moderate, suggesting controlled but persistent selling pressure. The market is in a corrective or continuation phase of a larger downtrend, with no clear signs of reversal or strong buying interest at this stage.