UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Jan-28 07:21 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.85655,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -44%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Jan

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 119.9375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 124.03125,
• 5. Levels R: 124.03125, 127.65625, 137.71875, 151.5,
• 6. Levels S: 119.9375, 111.5625.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 119.4725 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 119.425 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 119.9775 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 122.1625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 132.66906 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 152.86625 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 27 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.59375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 27 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 23 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 21 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 116.8125 Signals.USAR.TR720

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart is exhibiting a persistent bearish structure across all timeframes. Price action remains below key Fibonacci grid levels (WSFG, MSFG, YSFG), with the most recent bars showing slow momentum and medium-sized candles, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction but a continued downward bias. All benchmark moving averages from short to long term are trending down, reinforcing the prevailing downtrend. Swing pivot analysis highlights a dominant downtrend in both short- and intermediate-term trends, with the most recent pivot low at 119.9375 and resistance levels stacked well above current price, suggesting significant overhead supply. Support is seen at 119.9375 and further down at 111.5625. Recent trade signals reflect a mix of short and long entries, but the overall context remains bearish, with lower highs and lower lows dominating the chart. The market appears to be in a broad consolidation within a larger downtrend, with no clear signs of reversal, and volatility remains contained. This environment is characterized by trend continuation patterns, failed rallies, and a lack of sustained bullish momentum.