UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Jan-25 18:18 CT

Price Action

• Last: 118.125,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 14%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Jan

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 29%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 118.125,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 122.625,
• 5. Levels R: 124.03125, 127.65625, 137.71875, 151.5,
• 6. Levels S: 118.125, 111.5625.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 119.473 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 119.425 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 119.977 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 122.1625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 132.86625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 152.18625 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 23 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 21 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 116.8125 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 19 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.84375 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in transition. Price action is currently above the NTZ center line across all session fib grids, with slow momentum and medium-sized bars, indicating a measured but persistent upward move. Both short-term and intermediate-term trends are up, supported by recent swing pivot structure and moving averages, with the 5, 10, and 20-week benchmarks all trending higher. However, the long-term picture remains bearish, as the 55, 100, and 200-week moving averages are still in downtrends, and major resistance levels remain well above current price. Recent trade signals reflect this mixed environment, with both long and short entries triggered in the past week. The market is currently testing a swing low support at 118.125, with the next upside pivot target at 122.625 and resistance at 124.03125. The overall structure suggests a potential for further upside retracement or consolidation within a broader long-term downtrend, as the market attempts to build a base above key support. Swing traders should note the ongoing battle between short-term bullish momentum and entrenched long-term resistance, with volatility likely as the market navigates this inflection zone.