UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Jan-25 18:18 CT

Price Action

• Last: 118.25,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Momentum fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 14%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Jan

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 29%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: Neutral,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 118.250,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 116.43750,
• 5. Levels R: 124.03125, 121.00391, 119.62500, 118.34375, 116.42200, 115.50000,
• 6. Levels S: 116.00000, 114.68750.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117.58773 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 116.88675 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.99963 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.74906 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.07688 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.24982 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 23 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 21 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 116.8125 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 19 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.84375 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a strong short-term bullish reversal, with price surging above key monthly and weekly session fib grid levels and breaking out of the January NTZ zone. Large, fast-momentum bars indicate aggressive buying, confirmed by the recent long signal and a pivot high forming at 118.25. All short-term and intermediate-term moving averages have turned up, while long-term benchmarks remain in a downtrend, suggesting the move is still in the early stages of a potential larger reversal. Resistance levels above are well-defined, with 119.62 and 121.00 as near-term upside targets, while support is anchored at 116.00 and 114.68. Volume and volatility have spiked, supporting the breakout move. The intermediate-term trend is also turning bullish, but the long-term trend remains neutral as price is still below the 200-day and 100-day MAs. The market is transitioning from a period of consolidation and retracement into a possible new uptrend, with the potential for further upside if resistance levels are cleared and long-term moving averages begin to flatten or turn up.