UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Jan-23 07:17 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.859375,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -16%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Jan

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 22%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 0%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Neutral,
• YSFG Trend: Neutral.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: Neutral,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 118.8000,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 116.3750,
• 5. Levels R: 119.2500, 118.9437, 118.4225, 118.0000, 116.5000,
• 6. Levels S: 116.0000.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117.75 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 117.4 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.895834 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.72355 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.71875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.284125 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 23 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.15625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 21 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 116.8125 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 19 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.84375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 16 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 118.0625 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart reflects a market in transition. Short-term price action is mixed, with medium-sized bars and average momentum, while the weekly session fib grid (WSFG) shows a downward trend and price below the NTZ, indicating recent short-term weakness. However, the monthly session fib grid (MSFG) for January is trending up, with price above the NTZ, suggesting intermediate-term strength and a potential shift in sentiment. The swing pivot structure shows a short-term uptrend (UTrend) but a neutral intermediate-term trend, with the next key pivot low at 116.3750 and resistance levels clustered between 118.0000 and 119.2500. Daily benchmarks are mixed: short-term moving averages are trending down, but the 20-day is turning up, while longer-term averages remain in a downtrend. Volatility (ATR) is moderate, and volume is steady. Recent trade signals highlight both long and short entries, reflecting the choppy, range-bound nature of the current environment. Overall, the market is neutral short-term, bullish intermediate-term, and neutral long-term, with price action suggesting a possible base-building phase after a period of selling, as the market tests support and attempts to establish higher lows.