UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Jan-22 07:19 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.98125,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -59%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Jan

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 0%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Neutral,
• MSFG Trend: Neutral.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 117.0000,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 118.0000,
• 5. Levels R: 118.0000, 116.9470, 116.3437, 115.4220, 115.0000,
• 6. Levels S: 114.6875.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117.98675 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118.34253 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.98125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.75614 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.72406 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.3125 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 21 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 116.8125 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 19 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.84375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 16 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 118.0625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 14 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.34375 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart is showing a clear bearish structure across all timeframes. Price action is characterized by medium-sized bars and slow momentum, with the last price sitting just below key short-term and intermediate-term moving averages, all of which are trending down. The Weekly Session Fib Grid (WSFG) and Yearly Session Fib Grid (YSFG) both indicate price is below their respective neutral zones, reinforcing a downward bias. Swing pivot analysis confirms a dominant downtrend, with the most recent pivot being a low at 117.0000 and the next potential reversal at 118.0000. Resistance levels are stacked above, while support is further below at 114.6875. Recent trade signals have been predominantly short, aligning with the prevailing trend. Volatility, as measured by ATR, is moderate, and volume is steady. The market appears to be in a continuation phase of a broader downtrend, with no immediate signs of reversal or strong counter-trend activity. The environment is currently unfavorable for bullish swing setups, and the technicals suggest ongoing pressure to the downside.