UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Jan-21 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116'19,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -109%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Jan

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -25%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 111'56,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 124'03,
• 5. Levels R: 124'03, 127'65, 137'66, 151'50,
• 6. Levels S: 111'56.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 119'87 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 119'43 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 119'95 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 123'24 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 129'26 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 133'00 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 21 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 116.8125 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 19 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.84375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 16 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 118.0625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 14 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.34375 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures chart is exhibiting a persistent bearish structure across all timeframes. Price action remains below all major moving averages, with the 5, 10, 20, 55, 100, and 200-week benchmarks all trending down, confirming sustained downside momentum. The WSFG, MSFG, and YSFG session fib grids all show price below their respective NTZ/F0% levels, reinforcing the dominant downward bias. Swing pivot analysis highlights a prevailing downtrend in both short- and intermediate-term trends, with the most recent pivot low at 111'56 serving as the primary support, and resistance levels stacked above at 124'03 and higher. Recent trade signals have consistently favored the short side, aligning with the broader technical picture. The market appears to be in a prolonged retracement or consolidation phase within a larger downtrend, with no clear signs of reversal. Volatility remains moderate, and the lack of bullish momentum or higher lows suggests that sellers continue to control the tape.