UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Jan-21 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116'21,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Momentum fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -109%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Jan

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -25%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 116'00,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119'25,
• 5. Levels R: 119'25, 118'00, 116'31,
• 6. Levels S: 114'68.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118'08 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118'35 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 118'09 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119'71 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119'18 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118'34 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 21 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 116.8125 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 19 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.84375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 16 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 118.0625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 14 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.34375 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart is showing pronounced bearish momentum across all timeframes. Price has broken decisively below the Monthly and Weekly Session Fib Grid NTZ zones, with fast momentum and large bars indicating strong selling pressure. All benchmark moving averages (from short to long-term) are trending down, confirming the prevailing downtrend. Swing pivot analysis shows a dominant downtrend in both short and intermediate terms, with the most recent pivot evolving to a new low at 116'00 and the next resistance pivot at 119'25. The ATR is elevated, reflecting increased volatility, and volume is above average, suggesting strong participation in the current move. Recent trade signals have all been to the short side, reinforcing the bearish bias. The market is in a clear trend continuation phase after a failed bounce attempt earlier in January, with no immediate signs of reversal. The technical landscape is characterized by lower highs, lower lows, and persistent downside momentum, with support at 114'68 and resistance levels overhead. The environment is trending, volatile, and favoring continuation of the current move.