UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Jan-20 07:19 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116.9375,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Momentum fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -120%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Jan

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -31%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 116.9375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 118.38594,
• 5. Levels R: 119.2500, 121.02969, 124.03125,
• 6. Levels S: 116.9375, 114.6875.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118.08713 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118.38594 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 118.88789 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.71219 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.17875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.375 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 19 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.84375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 16 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 118.0625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 14 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.34375 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart is showing pronounced downside momentum, with large bars and fast momentum confirming a strong bearish move. All major session fib grid trends (weekly, monthly, yearly) are aligned to the downside, with price trading well below the NTZ/F0% levels, indicating persistent selling pressure across all timeframes. Swing pivot analysis confirms a dominant downtrend in both short- and intermediate-term, with the most recent pivot low just established at 116.9375 and the next potential reversal only above 118.38594. Resistance levels are stacked above, while support is thin, with the next key support at 114.6875. All benchmark moving averages from short to long term are trending down, reinforcing the bearish structure. Recent trade signals have shifted decisively to the short side, with two consecutive short entries in mid-January following a failed long attempt. Volatility (ATR) is elevated, and volume remains robust, suggesting active participation in this move. The overall technical landscape points to a strong bearish environment, with little evidence of reversal or stabilization at this stage.