UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Jan-16 07:19 CT

Price Action

• Last: 118'12,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Jan

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 22%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 0%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Neutral,
• YSFG Trend: Neutral.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: U2 UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 111'5625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 124'03125,
• 5. Levels R: 137'65625, 137'71875, 151'50000,
• 6. Levels S: 120'3475, 120'0425, 111'5625.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 118'4375 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 117'0625 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 119'5937 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 120'9125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 123'3475 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 133'3443 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 16 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 14 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.34375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 14 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.34375 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a shift in momentum, with price action moving above key short- and intermediate-term Fibonacci grid levels and both the 5- and 10-week moving averages trending upward. The short-term swing pivot trend remains down, but the intermediate-term HiLo trend has turned up, suggesting a possible transition phase. Price is currently above the NTZ center line, indicating a bullish bias in the short and intermediate timeframes, while the yearly grid remains neutral, reflecting a lack of clear long-term direction. Resistance levels are clustered well above current price, while support is close by, hinting at a potential base-building phase. Recent trade signals have all been to the long side, aligning with the improving short- and intermediate-term technicals. However, long-term moving averages are still in a downtrend, so the broader trend remains neutral. The chart suggests a market in recovery mode, with a possible trend reversal underway, but still facing significant overhead resistance and requiring confirmation for a sustained long-term move.