UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Jan-16 07:19 CT

Price Action

• Last: 118'12,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Jan

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 22%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 0%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Neutral,
• YSFG Trend: Neutral.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 120'20,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 116'93,
• 5. Levels R: 124'03, 121'03, 119'68, 119'43, 119'25, 118'52,
• 6. Levels S: 116'93, 114'68.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118'09 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118'06 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 118'92 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119'08 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119'70 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118'40 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 16 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 14 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.34375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 14 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.34375 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart is showing a constructive short-term environment, with price action above both the weekly and monthly session fib grid centers, and a clear UTrend in the short-term swing pivots. The recent momentum is average, and the last few sessions have seen medium-sized bars, indicating steady but not explosive activity. Short-term and intermediate-term moving averages are in uptrends, while longer-term benchmarks remain in downtrends, reflecting a market in transition. The intermediate-term swing pivot trend is still down, suggesting that while the short-term is bullish, the broader context is more mixed. Resistance levels are clustered above, with the nearest at 119'25 and 119'43, while support is well-defined at 116'93 and 114'68. Recent trade signals have all been to the long side, confirming the short-term bullish bias. However, the neutral long-term trend and the presence of overhead resistance suggest the market is in a recovery phase rather than a full reversal, with potential for further consolidation or a test of higher resistance if momentum continues. Volatility and volume are moderate, supporting the view of a market that is stabilizing after a prior decline.