UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Jan-15 07:15 CT

Price Action

• Last: 118.93750,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 39%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Jan

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 34%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: U2 UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 111.56250,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 127.65625,
• 5. Levels R: 137.65625, 137.71875, 151.50000, 124.03125,
• 6. Levels S: 111.56250.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 119.54975 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 119.02425 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 120.04125 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 123.34875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 133.34475 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 152.09125 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 14 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.34375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 14 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.46875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 14 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.34375 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a notable shift in sentiment, with price action breaking above the NTZ center and all session Fib grid trends (weekly, monthly, yearly) now pointing up. Recent momentum is average, and the bars are medium-sized, suggesting a steady but not explosive move. Short- and intermediate-term moving averages are in uptrends, supporting the bullish case, while long-term benchmarks remain in downtrends, indicating that the broader bear market is not yet fully reversed. Swing pivots highlight a recent low at 111.56250 and a potential next high at 127.65625, with resistance levels stacked above and a single major support below. Multiple recent long signals reinforce the bullish short- and intermediate-term outlook. However, the long-term trend remains neutral as price is still well below the 100- and 200-week moving averages, suggesting that while a recovery is underway, it is still in its early stages relative to the larger cycle. The market appears to be in a recovery phase, with potential for further upside if resistance levels are challenged, but the overall structure still reflects a market transitioning from a prolonged downtrend.