UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Jan-14 07:17 CT

Price Action

• Last: 118.03125,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Jan

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 20%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 0%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Neutral,
• YSFG Trend: Neutral.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 116.68750,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 121.06250,
• 5. Levels R: 121.06250, 124.03125,
• 6. Levels S: 116.68750, 114.68750.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118.03125 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118.94375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 118.92305 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 119.65469 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.85063 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.40625 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 14 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.46875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 14 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.34375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 12 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.34375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market in a corrective phase, with price action characterized by slow momentum and medium-sized bars. Despite recent long signals on both the weekly and monthly session fib grids, the prevailing swing pivot trends remain down for both short- and intermediate-term, with the most recent pivot low at 116.68750 and resistance overhead at 121.06250 and 124.03125. All benchmark moving averages across timeframes are trending down, reinforcing the bearish bias in the short and intermediate term. The ATR indicates moderate volatility, while volume remains steady. The long-term trend is neutral, suggesting the market is in a broader consolidation phase. Recent trade signals reflect a potential attempt at a short-term bounce, but the overall structure still favors a cautious stance until a clear reversal or breakout above resistance levels is established.