UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Jan-13 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.96875,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -31%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Jan

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 116.9375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119.6875,
• 5. Levels R: 119.6875, 119.3475, 118.9375, 118.3025,
• 6. Levels S: 117.6875, 117.1250, 116.9375, 114.6875.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117.875 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118.0875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.96875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.9261 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.6399 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.4373 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 12 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.34375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 09 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 06 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.0625 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart reflects a market in a corrective to bearish phase, with price action showing slow momentum and medium-sized bars, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction. The short-term trend, as indicated by the WSFG and swing pivots, is clearly down, with price trading below the weekly NTZ and all short-term benchmarks trending lower. Intermediate-term signals are mixed: while the monthly MSFG trend is up and price is above the monthly NTZ, the swing pivot HiLo trend remains down, suggesting a possible countertrend rally or consolidation within a broader downtrend. Long-term structure is bearish, with yearly SFG and all major moving averages sloping downward. Recent trade signals show a mix of short and long entries, highlighting the choppy, range-bound nature of the current environment. Volatility (ATR) is moderate, and volume is steady, but not elevated. Overall, the market is in a corrective phase with a bearish bias, but with potential for short-term bounces or mean reversion moves within a larger downtrend.