UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Jan-12 07:20 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.17,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -50%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Jan

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 117.09,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 111.56,
• 5. Levels R: 124.03, 127.66, 137.65, 151.50,
• 6. Levels S: 117.09, 111.56.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 120.04 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 123.85 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 120.04 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 133.34 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 133.34 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 133.34 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 12 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.34375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 09 Jan 2026: Long UB 03-26 @ 118.125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 06 Jan 2026: Short UB 03-26 @ 117.0625 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart is showing a persistent bearish structure across all timeframes. Price action remains below all major moving averages, with the most recent bars reflecting slow momentum and medium-sized candles, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction but a clear downward bias. The WSFG, MSFG, and YSFG all confirm price is trading below their respective NTZ/F0% levels, reinforcing the downtrend. Swing pivots highlight a dominant downtrend in both short- and intermediate-term trends, with the next key support at 111.56 and resistance levels stacked well above current price, suggesting significant overhead supply. All benchmark moving averages are trending down, further confirming the prevailing bearish sentiment. Recent trade signals have alternated but are currently aligned with the short side, reflecting the overall trend. The market appears to be in a prolonged retracement or consolidation phase within a broader downtrend, with no immediate signs of reversal. Volatility remains moderate, and the structure suggests continued pressure on the downside unless a significant catalyst emerges.